March 5, 2026, 9:57 a.m. ET
The Detroit Pistons (45-15) visit the San Antonio Spurs (44-17) Thursday night for an 8 p.m. ET tip from Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pistons vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Spurs lead 1-0
Detroit saw its 3-game winning streak end with a 113-109 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point road favorite with the Under (228.5) hitting. C Jalen Duren led all scorers with 24 points while grabbing 14 rebounds as the Pistons shot 51% from the floor in the loss.
The Spurs got back in the win column on Tuesday with a 131-91 blowout over the Philadelphia 76ers, covering as a 7.5-point road favorite with the Under (232.5) hitting. G Devin Vassell and G Dylan Harper each scored a game-high 22 points, while 8 different Spurs players scored in double figures.
The Spurs took down the Pistons 114-103, covering as 1.5-point road underdogs with the Under (232.5) hitting in their first matchup this season on Feb. 23.
Pistons at Spurs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pistons +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Spurs -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pistons +3.5 (-110) | Spurs -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pistons at Spurs key injuries
Pistons
Spurs
- F Harrison Barnes (ankle) out
- C Mason Plumlee (conditioning) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Pistons at Spurs picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 123, Pistons 120
BET SPURS (-160).
Both the Spurs and Pistons have been dominant this season, but the Spurs have been playing better as a team. They are coming off a 40-point road victory and sport a 21-6 record at home this season.
Eight of the Pistons’ 15 losses this season have come on the road, while the team is coming off a road loss on Tuesday. Though I predict the Spurs to cover by the hook, paying a little more on the ML is worth it the extra breathing room.
PASS.
With the caliber of both these teams, the ML has the best value, as either team could take control down the stretch.
BET OVER 228.5 (-110).
The Pistons have scored at least 122 in 2 of their last 4 games and in 4 of their last 7. They have allowed 113 or more in 4 of their last 5 and at least 110 in 6 of their last 7.
The Spurs have scored 126 or more in 2 of their last 3 and at least 121 in 7 of their last 10. They have scored at least 131 4 times in their last 10 overall.
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