Data Skrive
April 15, 2026Updated April 16, 2026, 2:35 a.m. ET
On Thursday, Denis Shapovalov (No. 39 in the world) meets Fabian Marozsan (No. 42) in the Round of 16 at the BMW Open.
Marozsan is the favorite (-150) in this match compared to the underdog Shapovalov (+115).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Denis Shapovalov vs. Fabian Marozsan matchup info
- Tournament: BMW Open
- Round: Round of 16
- Date: Thursday, April 16
- Court Surface: Clay
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Shapovalov vs. Marozsan Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 60.0% to win.
Shapovalov vs. Marozsan Betting Odds
- Shapovalov’s odds to win match: +115
- Marozsan’s odds to win match: -150
- Shapovalov’s odds to win tournament: +1600
- Marozsan’s odds to win tournament: +1200
Shapovalov vs. Marozsan matchup performance & stats
- Shapovalov has a record of 3-4 on clay over the last 12 months.
- Shapovalov has won 77.3% of his service games on clay over the past year and 27.4% of his return games.
- On clay over the past 12 months, Shapovalov has converted 23 of 54 break points (42.6%).
- Shapovalov was eliminated in the Round of 64 of his last tournament (the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters) 4-6, 6-4, 3-6 by No. 91-ranked Alexander Blockx on April 6.
- Marozsan has played in seven tournaments on clay over the past 12 months, putting up a 9-7 record on that surface.
- Marozsan is 139-for-181 in service games on clay (winning 76.8%) and 51-for-189 in return games (27.0%).
- Marozsan has won 38.0% of break points on clay (38 out of 100) which ranks 52nd.
- In his last tournament (the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters) on April 8, Marozsan played Hubert Hurkacz in the Round of 32 and was eliminated 2-6, 3-6.
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